Race 7: Allowance N2X, 1-1/16 Miles Turf, Fillies and mares
KATHY’S SONG (#3, 8-1) is a horse that I was at Del Mar for her first start in Southern California where she was sent off at 27-1 in the Grade 1 Del Mar Oaks and I made a note on my program and in my Formulator account that stated the following: Traffic filled trip with no chance to run. Deserves a big look if she ever gets clear sailing. I will go more into her trip later but she came into the Del Mar Oaks with two daylight wins at Indiana Grand for previous trainer Brad Cox. She was sent off as the 1-5 on June 7 where she enjoyed an ideal pace prompting trip where she sat second pressing a very slow early pace noted by blue TimeformUS pace figures. The daughter of Candy Ride made a run at the loose leader on the far turn to grab the lead into the stretch and showed a nice burst of late speed to kick away to win by 1-¾ lengths. This maiden field turned out to be a “key” race with the runner-up, sixth, and seventh-place finishers returned to break their maiden in their next start earning improved Beyer Speed Figures of 77, 63, and 66 respectively. She faced winners for the first time on June 28 and she showed versatility as she rated in midpack behind a fast pace set by uncontested leader My Drink Selection and pace presser Handful Baby Girl early. Although she was parked three wide down the backstretch, jockey M Pedroza had a ton of a horse that once he push the button she unleashed three wide sweep to inhale the leaders and open up a two-length at mid-stretch and once again kicked clear to win by three-lengths. She was privately purchased and transferred to the barn of Richard Baltas where she was working very well for her local debut including outworking older stablemate Place Des Vosges on August 3 where she went five furlongs in 1:00 ⅖ (August 3 - Kathy's Song). She merit long shot consideration in the Del Mar Oaks where she never had a chance to run. In that race she traveled in the two path around the first turn and down the backstretch racing between Vexatious and Pacific Wind as Blame It On Alphie set a fast pace for the first half-mile. She continued racing in the two path down the backstretch and jockey Gary Stevens remained patient saving ground as others such as Pacific Wind made wide middle move into the far turn to reach contention. On the turn, Kathy’s Song was caught a trouble spot racing between rivals with four horses in front of her and that continued into the stretch as she was blocked. Finally, once a hole became open she, Pacific Wind, and Madam Dance A Lot were trying to get to that hole but Kathy’s Song had to check severely losing all chance and was never set down as she was ridden to the wire to lose by 5-½ lengths to opportunistic closer Dream Dancing. Although she will face older rivals today, she does not meet an accomplished field and with clear sailing she can win as TimeformUS pace projector sees her get ground saving trip behind expected pacesetter, Dis Smart Cat. and with trouble free and ground saving trip she can produce a solid late kick at a hint of a price under new rider Joe Talamo.
The Play:
WIN bet on (3) KATHY’S SONG at 4-1 or better.
Main Exacta: 3-5. Small reverse.
Small Exacta: 3-1, 3-2. No reverse
$2 Pick 4: 3 / 6 / 1, 7, 8 / 2, 5, 6, 8 = 1 x 1 x 3 x 4 x $2 = $24
$1 Pick 4: 5 / 6 / 1, 7, 8 / 2, 5, 6, 8 = 1 x 1 x 3 x 4 x $1 = $12
$0.50 Pick 4: 3 / 3, 4, 9 / 1, 7, 8 / 2, 5, 6, 8 = 1 x 3 x 3 x 4 x $.50 = $18
Total Wager: $54
Race 8: Grade 1 Del Mar Futurity, 7 Furlongs, Two-year olds
BOLT D’ORO (#6, 6-1) was not a secret when this handsome son of Medaglia D’Oro made his career debut on August 5 here at Del Mar. He was purchased as a yearling for $630,000 at the Fasig-Tipton August 2016 sale. He was by the A.P. Indy mare Global Trot who was a three-time winner that produced one starter Sonic Mule who won four times in a eleven starts. The Mick Ruis trainee had impressed all his morning observers including National Turf’s Andy Harrington who raved about his two works leading into his first start with a B+ including a eye popping five furlong move in 1:00 flat on July 29 (July 29 - Bolt D'Oro) where he caught him tracking “barn mate Eskimo Rose early moving up and looking tons the best in the lane then held the 4f working older trainee Sweet Dragon Fly (Callaghan) at bay late in 35.1, 100.0 out in 112.4. Some size here.” His workouts resulted in him going off as the 4-5 post time favorite and according to the Daily Racing Form trouble comment he was Off bit slow, vyed, and clear. However a closer inspection of that race reveals he had a lot more trouble than the trouble comment would indicate. Breaking from post position four in a field of ten, Bolt D’Oro got into a serious bumping match with rivals inside and outside of him shortly after the start which forced jockey Corey Nakatani to rush his colt into a three-horse speed duel down the backstretch with pace rivals Flip the Coin Jan and King Cause. He continued to battle for the lead in a head and head speed duel with the former on the far turn, shook him and fellow pace rival King Cause on the turn to take over the lead, and safely held off the late challenge of Bank Walker to win by 2-¼ lengths earning a 77 Beyer Speed Figure and 101 TimeformUS Speed Figure in the process. Although his TimeformUS Speed Figure ranks as the third highest last race speed figure in the field and other fancier maiden winners such as Soul Strait and Zatter earned higher Beyer Speed Figures, the difference between them and our top selection is neither of those horses or Tatters to Riches had to overcome the type of adversity this colt had to overcome in his career debut. He has come back with two works that National Turf’s Andy Harrington gave a solid B concluded with five furlong move in 1:00 ⅘ that he stated “walked to the top in 13.2, 37.4 but came home with a rush in 101.0 (23.1 LQ) out easily in 114.3. Solid.” Five entrants in this field have TimeformUS early pace ratings of 110 or higher including two with early pace ratings of 120 or higher suggest the meets final Grade 1 will go off at a fast pace and I expect Bolt D’Oro to relax early behind this spirited speed duel and produce a solid stretch punch to mow down his rivals similar to how his stablemate, Union Strike, did in last year’s Del Mar Debutante for owners Mick and Wendy Ruis.
The Play:
WIN bet on (6) BOLT D’ORO at 5-1 or better.
Main Exactas: 6-3, 6-4, 6-9. Small reverse for each.
Race 9: Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf, 1-Mile Turf, Two-year old Fillies
DAWN TRAVELLER (#1, 8-1) is a maiden that will be facing winners and this daughter of Dragon Pulse was defeated as the 2-1 post time favorite in her North American debut on August 13 at today’s distance here at Del Mar. However, she encountered trouble right at the start that most likely compromised her chances leaving her would too much to do in the stretch and this Simon Callaghan trainee showed of stakes quality in her career debut where she finished fourth beaten only a length in a fifteen horse field maiden field at the Curragh on May 27 where the TimeformUS foreign analyst said she is “open to improvement.” Not only did she finished very well in a full field to lose by a length but she went against a strong field of maidens. The runner-up, Now You’re Talking, came back to finish fourth in a twenty-three horse field in the Group 2 Queen Mary Stakes at Royal Ascot. The third-place finisher Clemmie went on to win the Group 3 Grangecon Stud Stakes at Curragh on July 2 and came back twelve days later to win Group 2 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes at Newmarket. Based on this effort plus trainer Simon Callaghan with foreign shippers she was a best bet selection on August 13 and she could only manage a fifth place finish beaten 4-¾ lengths behind opportunistic rail skimming rally Multiplayer. However she lost any chance to get into good position early at the start. The gray or roan filly was bothered and forced out at the start by Misty Slew which forced to trail early more than a dozen lengths behind fast pace set by Ladybug who set red coded TimeformUS pace figures for the first six furlongs. She still trailed on the far turn, came out into the lane, and made up a decent amount of ground to cut the deficit to 4-¾ lengths at the wire. The belief in this corner is that the start compromised her chances by forcing her to be further off the pace than what she wanted. She will now make her second start in North America and gets blinkers for the first time which is a winning angle for the Simon Callaghan who wins at 31% (13/4-1-0) in the past three-years adding blinkers for the first time to turf routers and the blinkers were on when she worked five furlongs in 1:01 ⅖ on August 24 that National Turf’s Andy Harrington gave a B. Her late kick will be flattered by very fast pace that TimeformUS pace projector suggest with Terra’s Angel going for the early lead followed or pressed by Medaglia Gold, Scat Home Lady, and Street With No Name. With Flavien Prat in the irons and good inside draw I look for major improvement in her third career start at hint of a price.
The Play:
WIN bet on (1) DAWN TRAVELLER to WIN at 5-1 or better.
Main Exactas: 1-3, 1-7, 1-8. Small reverse for each.
Race 10: Allowance N1X, 7 Furlongs, Three-year olds and upward
RED LIGHTNING (#1, 6-1) is a horse that I have followed and have detailed trip notes on for each of his races. He endured a traffic filled trip in his career debut on April 22 where he was never allowed to run and finished up under his own power to be third behind the daylight gate to wire winner Leading Score in a “key” maiden race that produced two next time out winners in Miner’s Light and Bird Orr Brady. He had no excuses when he pressed a very slow early pace on May 28, put in his run to challenge the leader and eventual winner Bird Orr Brady and hung badly through the stretch to finish second. In his third start on July 1 he lacked the early speed he displayed behind a slow pace won by pace pressing winner Pavel where this son of Midshipman was running in spots and the addition of blinkers would help this colt stay focus. The blinkers were added on July 23 here at Del Mar and he improved to win the early pace battle but lose the war behind the opportunistic stalking winner Stone Hands. In that race he flashed early speed to establish a pressure pace with the first time starter Way Gone through very slow early pace noted by blue TimeformUS pace figures with Little Juanito and Stone Hands tracking that duel in third and fourth respectively. The began to quicken into and around the far turn as Little Juanito joined the two dueling leaders on the far turn and Red Lightning appeared in trouble into the stretch but re-rallied along the inside to grab the lead only to be run down by the opportunistic stalking winner Stone Hands right near the wire to lose by a half-length finishing in front of Troublewithatee who came back on August 19 to break his maiden with a career best 80 Beyer Speed Figure. It appeared this colt was developing the tendency of being a trail maiden but that notion was thrown out the window when he came back three weeks later and broke his maiden in visually impressive manner that was also impressive from a speed and pace figure standpoint. He dueled head and head with his rival Little Juanito early and then settled just off that leader as they went at fast early pace noted by red TimeformUS pace figure for a half mile. He re-challenged that rival around the far turn, took the lead into the stretch, and kicked clear to win going away by 3-¼ widening lengths and it was accomplished in fast time. The 94 Beyer Speed Figure and 120 TimeformUS Speed Figure he earned are the second highest last race speed figures in this field and suggest he can not only be competitive in this Allowance N1X event but also he can win this race. He has bounced back with an easy maintenance five furlong move in 59 ⅘ on August 28 that National Turf’s Andy Harrington praised with a B stating this “always good worker came back with an easy spin out of overdue win.” His early speed should come in handy from the rail as he should get a great stalking trip with Peter Miller trainees Prime Issue and Big League on or near the front end as those two have highest TimeformUS early pace ratings in the field. Santiago Gonzalez should track those dueling leaders and get first run on them into and around the far turn. He will be a decent price facing winners for the first time but he has improved with blinkers and has more upside for red hot William Morey barn.
The Play:
WIN bet on (2) RED LIGHTNING to WIN at 4-1 or better.
Main Exactas: 2-5, 2-6, 2-8. Small reverse for each.
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